The unexpectedness of the results from the Democratic primary’s Super Tuesday has got a lot of people already fantasizing about a potential Donald Trump v. Joe Biden match in November.
The fantasy has pretty solid foundations, nonetheless.
Bernie Sanders woke up to a rather demoralizing defeat on Wednesday morning after he surrendered his lead in popular vote count as well as delegates.
Sanders had been leading in polls in Texas, Massachusetts, Maine, Virginia and Minnesota. He lost all of these states on the night with Utah, California, Colorado and Vermont going according to expectations.
The least of nous in political science says it is Biden’s nomination to lose.
If there is one thing we have picked from Super Tuesday, it is that Sander’s can no longer count on the perceived assuredness of carrying states like Wisconsin and Michigan. He will most definitely not win Florida.
Sanders has promised to support Biden for the presidency if the former vice-president wins the nomination. For Sanders, the bigger foe is Trump.
So, let’s take the logic of the Trump v. Biden fantasy and stretch it to a Democratic Party victory in November. How different then, would a Biden presidency be from his former boss, Barack Obama?
We have three theories.